The Trading Post | 02.25.26

February 25, 2026

Good morning,

Dow futures are up 150 as tech tries to extend Tuesday’s bounce, the AI trade faces its biggest test of the week with Nvidia earnings after the close, S&P futures are ticking higher while rate-cut bets cool and yields creep up, Diageo just slashed its dividend and got smacked 6%, and traders are eyeing jobs data while premarket movers like Cava and Lowe’s light up the scanners.

Let’s jump in.

Yesterday’s Post-Market Performance

As of 02.24.26 market close.

Market News

  • Dow futures rise 150 points as Nvidia and Oracle lead tech rebound: Buyers stepping back into mega-cap tech ahead of earnings roulette. CNBC 

  • AI trade braces for Nvidia earnings test: One report to rule them all…or at least the semis. Bloomberg 

  • Diageo drops 6% after dividend cut and lowered outlook: Defensive names suddenly looking…less defensive. CNBC 

  • S&P futures climb as Treasury yields rise: Fewer rate cuts, more multiple math. Bloomberg 

  • Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.4% as traders eye jobs data and single-stock movers: Cava, Lowe’s, and others flashing early volume. Bloomberg

Earnings We’re Watching

  • Dole plc (DOLE) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Owens Corning Inc (OC) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Pinnacle West Capital Corp. (PNW) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • TJX Companies Inc. (TJX) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Salesforce (CRM) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Snowflake (SNOW) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM) - Wednesday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

Amgen Inc. (AMGN), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), Ares Management L.P. (ARES),
Arm Holdings plc - America De (ARM)

Credicorp Ltd. (BAP), Builders FirstSource, Inc. Com (BLDR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN),
Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc (DKS)

Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (EL), e.l.f. Beauty, Inc (ELF), Eaton Corporation (ETN),
Robinhood Markets, Inc (HOOD)

Gartner, Inc. (IT), iShares Russell 2000 Index Fun (IWM), Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW),
3M Company (MMM)

Roblox Corporation Class A Com (RBLX), TTM Technologies, Inc. (TTMI), Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO), Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)

WW International Inc (WTW), Amgen, Inc (AMGN), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET),
Ares Mangement, L.P. (ARES)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

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Daily Moment of Zen

❝

Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn't, pays it.

Albert Einstein

Why It Matters:

Compound interest is boring.

That’s why most traders ignore it.

Everyone wants the 10-bagger. The overnight gap. The hero trade they can screenshot and send to their group chat. But wealth in the markets rarely comes from fireworks — it comes from repetition.

Small edge.
Proper size.
Consistent execution.
Over and over.

That’s compounding.

The irony? The market compounds against you just as efficiently. Overtrading compounds fees. Oversizing compounds drawdowns. Revenge trading compounds stupidity. Interest on margin compounds regret.

You are either stacking small advantages…
Or stacking small mistakes.

There is no neutral.

The pros don’t look for one life-changing trade. They look for a repeatable process that produces modest, consistent returns — and then they protect it like it’s oxygen.

Because once you understand compounding, you stop chasing excitement… and start chasing sustainability.

And sustainability is what turns skill into wealth.

Trade like someone who wants to earn the eighth wonder — not pay for it.