The Trading Post | 04.08.26

April 08, 2026

Good morning,

Wall Street is ripping on ceasefire headlines, oil just got taken out back and humbled, airlines and travel names suddenly look less allergic to profitability, index futures are screaming risk-on, and Delta earnings give traders one more excuse to chase volatility before breakfast.

Let’s jump in.

Yesterday’s Post-Market Performance

As of 04.07.26 market close.

Market News

  • Relief rally hits like traders found religion overnight: Trump’s two-week Iran ceasefire headline sent oil tumbling and index futures ripping 2–3%, which puts dip-buying above overnight gap support and VWAP in play instead of trying to be the hero fading strength. WSJ

  • Oil gets smoked, and sector rotation gets very obvious very fast: Crude’s historic drop pressures energy while airlines, cruises, and transports catch a tailwind, so relative-strength longs in travel and failed-bounce shorts in weak energy names are the cleaner setups. Investopedia

  • This has all the ingredients of a trend-day open: Dow futures pointing to a monster open and Nasdaq 100 futures up more than 3% means gap-and-go tactics stay favored as long as the opening range low holds and momentum names keep printing higher lows. Reuters

  • Delta and today’s earnings slate could throw gasoline on single-name momentum: DAL is front and center with lower fuel costs and better macro vibes at its back, so post-report opening range breaks and high-volume gap names deserve a spot on the watchlist. Investopedia

Earnings We’re Watching

  • Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • RPM International Inc. (RPM) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) - Wednesday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

Apple Inc (AAPL), Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI), Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP),
Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG)

AMTEK, Inc. (AME), Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Bunge Limited (BG), CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE)

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS), CIGNA Corporation (CI), CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), FedEx Corporation (FDX)

Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC), Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM), iShares Russell 2000 Index Fun (IWM), Kratos Defense & Security Solution (KTOS)

Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW), Lam Research Corporation (LRCX), 3M Company (MMM)

S&P 500 BULL 3X (SPXL), Seagate Technology (STX), Direxion Tech Bull 3X Shares (TECL),
Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL)

The Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV), TTM Technologies, Inc. (TTMI), Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH), Apple, Inc (AAPL)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

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Daily Moment of Ze

❝

Returns matter a lot, but not losing your balance sheet is what matters more.

Howard Marks

Why It Matters:

That’s the market’s way of reminding everyone that survival is not a boring side quest — it’s the whole game. Big returns are great for screenshots, ego, and the occasional LinkedIn chest-thumping, but none of that matters if one stupid trade, one oversized position, or one heroic attempt to “just hold through it” turns your account into a cautionary tale. Traders love talking about upside like risk is some annoying legal disclaimer in tiny font. It isn’t. Risk is the invoice.

In trading, your balance sheet is your oxygen supply. Protect it first, because you cannot compound what you’ve already detonated. The best traders are not the ones constantly swinging for mythical home runs. They’re the ones who stay solvent long enough to keep showing up, keep pressing good setups, and keep their capital intact when the market inevitably decides to act possessed. Fancy returns are nice. Still being in the game tomorrow is nicer.