The Trading Post | 05.08.25

May 08, 2025

Good morning,

Trump teases a "major" UK trade deal, semis spike on rollback buzz, Bitcoin brushes $100K, Powell delays his rate-cut party, and the US-China weekend summit may or may not matter.

Master a proven SPX trading strategy that requires just 5-6 hours per week with Brandon Wendell's free masterclass designed for traders seeking both consistency and freedom. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 05.07.25 market close.

Market News

  • Trump to Announce "Major" UK Trade Deal Today: Market futures are ripping as Trump hints at a "prominent" trade partner (hint: it’s the UK). S&P futures up 0.9%, Nasdaq 1.3%. Expect fireworks at 10:00 AM ET. Barron’s

  • Chip Stocks Catch Fire on AI Export Reversal Talk: Nvidia, AMD, and Intel rally as Trump considers axing Biden-era AI chip curbs. NVDA up 3.1% Wednesday and still running. Reuters

  • Bitcoin Inches Toward $100K: BTC trades at $99,616 on optimism over global trade. Coinbase and CleanSpark are jumping pre-market. Swissinfo

  • Powell Puts June Rate Cut on Ice: Fed Chair says not so fast. Markets now betting on September for the first cut. 2-year yield ticks up to 3.81%. Bloomberg

  • US-China Talks This Weekend = Cautious Hope: Swiss summit this weekend could lower tensions. Treasury says don’t expect miracles. Translation: cover your positions. Investing

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Earnings We’re Watching

  • Altic USA (ATUS) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • BCE, Inc. (BCE) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Brookfield Corporation (BN) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • ConocoPhillips (COP) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Global Partners LP (GLP) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Lincoln National Corp. (LNC) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • MAXIMUS, Inc. (MMS) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Primo Brands Corporation (PRMB) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • SanDisk Corp. (SNDK) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Sempra Energy (SRE) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • SharkNinja, Inc. (SN) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Shopify Inc. (SHOP) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Silicon Graphics International Corp (SGI) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Viatris Inc. (VTRS) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Warner Music Group Corp (WMG) - Thursday (BMO) 

  • Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Alliant Energy, Inc. (LNT) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • ARKO Corp. (ARKO) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (SID) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Compass, Inc. (COMP) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Expedia, Inc. (EXPE) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Illumina Inc. (ILMN) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Ingram Micro Holding Corporation (INGM) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Intercorp Financial Services Inc. (IFS) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. (ITUB) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • McKesson Corp. (MCK) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • News Corp (NWS) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Paramount Global (PARA) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Pembina Pipeline Corporation (PBA) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Solventum Corporation (SOLV) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Sun Life Financial Inc. (SLF) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Texas Roadhouse Inc. (TXHR) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) - Thursday (AMC) 

  • Toast (TOST) - Thursday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

  • American Water Works Co Inc (AWK)

  • Crocs Inc (CROX)

  • DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc (DKS)

  • FedEx Corp (FDX)

  • Home Depot Inc (HD)

  • IBM Common Stock (IBM)

  • Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE)

  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

  • Lumentum Holdings Inc LITE)

  • 3M Co (MMM)

  • Merck & Co Inc (MRK)

  • Paylocity Holding Corp (PCTY)

  • Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)

  • Wynn Resorts Ltd (WYNN)

  • SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)

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Daily Moment of Zen

❝

You make most of your money in a bear market, you just don't realize it at the time.

Shelby Cullom Davis

Why It Matters:

This quote should be etched onto every trader's monitor in blood-red ink. It’s a reminder that the best setups often emerge from the ugliest charts—when fear peaks, prices crater, and nobody wants to touch a falling knife. The irony? That’s exactly when the smart money is quietly backing up the truck. Bull markets may reward, but bear markets build fortunes. You just won’t feel rich until much, much later.