The Trading Post | 06.27.25

Good morning,

The S&P 500 is practically kissing its record high after a 23% rip since April, Trump and Xi buried the hatchet over rare earths, Nike shrugged off a billion-dollar tariff tab and jumped 9.6%, the Fed stayed hawkish but still swears two cuts are coming, and Freeport-McMoRan led a materials-sector stampede higher.

Ever wonder if that gap will fill? Gap Trading Stats is the first-of-its-kind software that gives you historical data and probability insights to trade gaps with confidence instead of guesswork. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 06.26.2 market close.

Market News

• S&P 500 Inches Toward Record High
  The S&P 500 closed at 6,141.02, just 3 points shy of its all-time high from February after a blistering 23.3% rally since April. The Dow rose 0.94% and Nasdaq climbed 0.97%. The VIX dropped to 16.59, signaling fewer panic attacks—for now. Reuters

• US-China Trade Deal Breakthrough
  Trump claims a “signed and sealed” trade framework with China, unlocking rare earth exports and easing tariff jitters. FCX soared 6.92% as traders piled into materials and semis got a fresh reason to party. NPR

• Nike Flexes Past Earnings Woes
  Nike beat earnings with $0.14 per share (vs. $0.12 expected), despite eating a $1 billion tariff bill. Shares leapt 9.6% premarket. Tariffs schmarriffs, apparently. Yahoo Finance

• Fed Holds Steady, Two Cuts Still Promised
  Fed left rates at 4.25%-4.5% and kept two cuts on the table for 2025. Futures imply the first cut might drop as soon as September. Don’t hold your breath, but maybe keep your REIT shopping list handy. CNBC

• Materials Stocks Lead the Charge
  Freeport-McMoRan (+6.92%), Flowserve (+6.73%) and Alcoa (+6.19%) lit up the scoreboard. Materials are the new momentum darling, fueled by China optimism and copper fever. CAT joined the party, up 2.76%. Money Control

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Trade Gaps Like a Pro with Data-Backed Insights 

We've all been there – staring at a gap on the chart, wondering if it'll fill or run. Instead of guessing, what if you could know the historical probability based on gap size, direction, and even the day of the week? 

Gap Trading Stats is a first-of-its kind software built exclusively for traders who want to master gap trading through data, not hunches. It’s more than just another screener...it's the first platform that analyzes how gaps actually behave over time. 

Gap Trading Stats dives deep into gap statistics, showing you patterns like full vs. partial gap fills, how gap size affects probability, and whether Monday gaps behave differently than Friday gaps.  

Whether you're a swing trader looking for multi-day gap fill plays or an intraday trader scalping quick moves, having this historical context gives you a massive edge. 

Stop trading gaps blind. Start trading them with the confidence that only real data can provide. 

All trading involves risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 

Trade Ideas

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

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Daily Moment of Zen

Why It Matters:

Funny how the first lesson in “making money” is… losing money. Marty Schwartz nailed it decades ago, and nothing’s changed. Losers who become big losers kill more trading careers than any bad stock pick ever could.

Cutting losers fast isn’t just a tactic—it’s your only lifeline when Mr. Market goes feral. Because the market doesn’t care that you “believe” in your trade, or that you doubled down to “average in.” It’ll just keep bleeding you dry while you recite your thesis into the abyss.

So keep your stops tight, your ego tighter, and remember: the only traders who never take losses are the ones who’ve already blown up and quit.