The Trading Post | 06.30.25

June 30, 2025

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh highs as Canada killed its digital services tax (guess who’s really running trade talks), the Senate’s wrangling over a $4.5T tax cut that’ll either juice the economy or torch the deficit (or both), oil and gold took a breather after a Middle East ceasefire, big banks passed their Fed stress tests and are itching to shower shareholders with cash, and traders are bracing for volatility as key data and the July 9 tariff deadline loom like a Fed press conference on speed.

Ever wonder if that gap will fill? Gap Trading Stats is the first-of-its-kind software that gives you historical data and probability insights to trade gaps with confidence instead of guesswork. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of June 29, 2025 market close.

Market News

  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq Hit Record Highs as Trade Optimism Surges
    Futures hit new highs after Canada ditched plans for a digital services tax on US tech, reviving trade talks and trimming tariff fears. Big Tech (Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, Apple) all rose premarket by 0.5-1%. Reuters

    Actionable Insight: Momentum’s hot in large-cap tech; play breakouts in FAANG and semis. Watch out for reversals as July 9 tariff deadline nears.

  • Senate Debates $4.5 Trillion Tax Cut Bill, Fueling Fiscal Stimulus Hopes
    The Senate’s wrestling over a giant tax cut and spending plan that could goose short-term growth but blow out the deficit. Traders are watching closely for clues to further upside. DailyForex

    Actionable Insight: Keep eyes on financials and consumer discretionary. Brace for volatility from Capitol Hill chatter; think straddles or strangles.

  • Middle East Ceasefire Eases Commodity Volatility; Oil and Gold Retreat
    A truce between Israel and Iran cooled oil back to the mid-$60s after OPEC+ confirmed output hikes starting August. Gold faded as traders tiptoed back into risk. IG

    Actionable Insight: Look for mean-reversion plays in energy and gold ETFs or futures. Headlines could still yank volatility back into the mix.

  • Federal Reserve Stress Test: Major US Banks Pass, Enabling Buybacks and Dividend Hikes
    The Fed’s annual stress test gave 22 major banks a thumbs-up, paving the way for buybacks and dividends. Financials popped in premarket trading. Schwab

    Actionable Insight: Bullish setups in bank stocks look tasty. Watch for sector rotation as regulatory clouds clear.

  • Volatility Expected Ahead of Key Economic Data and July 9 Tariff Deadline
    Despite this rally, traders are on edge with nonfarm payrolls, ISM data, and the looming tariff date hanging overhead. Trump hinted at flexibility, but uncertainty’s the only sure thing. DailyForex

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Trade Gaps Like a Pro with Data-Backed Insights 

We've all been there – staring at a gap on the chart, wondering if it'll fill or run. Instead of guessing, what if you could know the historical probability based on gap size, direction, and even the day of the week? 

Gap Trading Stats is a first-of-its kind software built exclusively for traders who want to master gap trading through data, not hunches. It’s more than just another screener...it's the first platform that analyzes how gaps actually behave over time. 

Gap Trading Stats dives deep into gap statistics, showing you patterns like full vs. partial gap fills, how gap size affects probability, and whether Monday gaps behave differently than Friday gaps.  

Whether you're a swing trader looking for multi-day gap fill plays or an intraday trader scalping quick moves, having this historical context gives you a massive edge. 

Stop trading gaps blind. Start trading them with the confidence that only real data can provide. 

All trading involves risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 

Daily Moment of Zen

❝

The markets are unforgiving, and emotional trading always results in losses.

Dr. Alexander Elder

Why It Matters:

Ah, the brutal honesty every trader needs taped to their monitor. The markets don’t care about your feelings, your hopes, or that you “just need it to come back.” They’re like a cold-hearted ex: the moment you get emotional, they’ll take your money and ghost you.

Trading on emotion turns you into the gambler at the blackjack table doubling down after every loss, convinced the universe owes you a win. Spoiler alert: it doesn’t. Whether it’s fear, greed, revenge, or good old-fashioned FOMO, emotions cloud judgment, tighten stops prematurely, or worse—turn your planned day trade into an involuntary long-term investment.

Bottom line? Have a plan. Stick to it. Because in the markets, feelings are expensive, and therapy for blown-up accounts isn’t cheap either.