The Trading Post | 07.01.25

Good morning,

US indices keep smashing records as trade optimism floods Wall Street, pre-market is a biotech circus, Powell’s speech could yank rate-cut hopes, the trade deadline might still torpedo markets, and key data drops are lurking to spoil the party.

Ever wonder if that gap will fill? Gap Trading Stats is the first-of-its-kind software that gives you historical data and probability insights to trade gaps with confidence instead of guesswork. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of June 30, 2025 market close.

Market News

• US Indices Notch Fresh Highs as Trade Talks Cheer Markets
  S&P 500 closed at 6,204.95 (+0.5%), Nasdaq at 20,369.73 (+0.5%), with tech stocks doing the heavy lifting thanks to progress in US-China negotiations. Watch S&P resistance at 6,215 and Nasdaq at 20,418 for momentum breakouts. Bar Chart

• Biotech Bangers and Tesla Trouble in Pre-Market Chaos
  BioNexus Gene Lab (BGLC) is up a ridiculous 404.9%, while Tesla sulks -4.4%. Intraday volatility is the name of the game. Keep an eye on WOLF (+69.98%) and Tesla bounce levels. The Stock Market Watch

• Powell Takes the Mic at ECB Forum
  Fed Chair Powell speaks at 9:30 AM ET in Sintra, Portugal. With two rate cuts still priced in for 2025, traders will parse every syllable for clues. Dollar weakness has EUR/USD at 1.1800. Trading View

• US Trade Deadline Approaches, Canada Throws Shade
  July 9 trade deal deadline looms. China’s on board, but Canada stormed out over its digital services tax on US tech. FX markets remain jumpy. Sail-World

• ISM PMI and JOLTS on Deck as Economic Pulse Check
  ISM Manufacturing PMI expected at 48.8. Below 50 means contraction—translation: “rate cuts please.” Construction Spending and JOLTS Job Openings add fuel for rate cut bets. Market Watch

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Trade Gaps Like a Pro with Data-Backed Insights 

We've all been there – staring at a gap on the chart, wondering if it'll fill or run. Instead of guessing, what if you could know the historical probability based on gap size, direction, and even the day of the week? 

Gap Trading Stats is a first-of-its kind software built exclusively for traders who want to master gap trading through data, not hunches. It’s more than just another screener...it's the first platform that analyzes how gaps actually behave over time. 

Gap Trading Stats dives deep into gap statistics, showing you patterns like full vs. partial gap fills, how gap size affects probability, and whether Monday gaps behave differently than Friday gaps.  

Whether you're a swing trader looking for multi-day gap fill plays or an intraday trader scalping quick moves, having this historical context gives you a massive edge. 

Stop trading gaps blind. Start trading them with the confidence that only real data can provide. 

All trading involves risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 

Trade Ideas

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

Why It Matters:

Some wisdom hits you like a margin call. This gem reminds us that the real flex isn’t pulling triple-digit gains—it’s surviving to trade another day. Traders love to brag about their biggest wins, but oddly quiet down about the 80% drawdowns that came right after.

In markets smashing record highs and biotech names pulling 400% pre-market moonshots, it’s tempting to go all-in. But remember: cash is a position, stop losses exist for a reason, and your brokerage account prefers not to look like a post-Fed-hike crypto chart.

So, yes—chase gains, but wrap them in Kevlar. Because the fastest way to go broke is confusing luck with skill and forgetting Rule #1: Don’t lose money.