The Trading Post | 07.09.25

Good morning,

Trump just blew up copper markets with a tariff that’s basically highway robbery, the Fed minutes are about to drop and could spook traders harder than a margin call, big banks are headed into earnings with the swagger of a kid who didn’t study, Amazon’s Prime Day is doubling as a live stress test for consumer wallets, and tech’s “AI forever” chant might be losing the crowd to yield spikes and tariff drama.

Ever wonder if that gap will fill? Gap Trading Stats is the first-of-its-kind software that gives you historical data and probability insights to trade gaps with confidence instead of guesswork. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 07.08.25 market close.

Market News

• Trump’s Copper Tariff Bombshell:
  Trump slapped a 50% tariff on copper imports, double what traders expected. US copper futures hit record highs, and the arbitrage gap between COMEX and LME ballooned to $2,000/ton. The premium on US copper vs London? A spicy 24%. Think

• Fed Minutes Drop at 2 PM ET:
  The Fed minutes release today could either calm markets or send them into meltdown. Seven Fed officials now see zero rate cuts this year, up from four in March. Yields hovering above 4.40% are basically screaming, “Don’t expect love from Powell.” Morning Star

• Mega-Banks Brace for Pain:
  JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup kick off earnings on July 15, with expectations uglier than a candlestick chart after earnings misses. JPM sees -5.6% earnings and a -13.4% revenue decline. Who’s excited? Yeah…no one. Yahoo Finance

• Prime Day’s Tariff Stress Test:
  Amazon’s extended 4-day Prime Day is forecast to rake in $23.8 billion, up 28% YoY. But with tariffs looming, electronics and back-to-school items might tank. Amazon fell 2% Tuesday because apparently even Bezos can’t tariff-proof shopping carts. CNBC

• Tech Sector on the Seesaw:
  Tech stocks are wavering between AI euphoria and yield-induced migraines. Nvidia is cooling off, Nasdaq 100 is flat, and traders are sniffing at utilities and financials for refuge. Meanwhile, the VIX at 16.23 is suspiciously chill…which should terrify everyone. Business Standard

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Trade Gaps Like a Pro with Data-Backed Insights 

We've all been there – staring at a gap on the chart, wondering if it'll fill or run. Instead of guessing, what if you could know the historical probability based on gap size, direction, and even the day of the week? 

Gap Trading Stats is a first-of-its kind software built exclusively for traders who want to master gap trading through data, not hunches. It’s more than just another screener...it's the first platform that analyzes how gaps actually behave over time. 

Gap Trading Stats dives deep into gap statistics, showing you patterns like full vs. partial gap fills, how gap size affects probability, and whether Monday gaps behave differently than Friday gaps.  

Whether you're a swing trader looking for multi-day gap fill plays or an intraday trader scalping quick moves, having this historical context gives you a massive edge. 

Stop trading gaps blind. Start trading them with the confidence that only real data can provide. 

All trading involves risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 

Trade Ideas

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

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Daily Moment of Zen

Why It Matters:

Peter Lynch, legendary Magellan Fund manager and owner of more pastel polo shirts than most country clubs, knew the markets run on two things: earnings…and fear.

Tariffs slam copper, Fed minutes loom like horror movies, Amazon wobbles under the weight of consumer wallets—yet the market is still perched near all-time highs. Why? Because selling every time the headlines shriek is the fastest route to locking in losses and missing the rebound.

Lynch’s point is painfully simple: volatility is the toll you pay on the road to gains. Get scared, hit the eject button, and watch the stocks you dumped go on a moon mission the next week. It’s like ghosting a date, then seeing them on the cover of Forbes.

So whether copper’s trading like crypto or the Fed’s minutes sound like a ransom note, remember: the big money sticks around precisely when everyone else bolts for the exits.

Stay in the game. Just don’t forget your stop-loss.