The Trading Post | 08.08.25

Good morning,

Trump’s dove pick for the Fed sends rate-cut odds soaring, semiconductors rally on tariff exemptions, gold hits record highs amid fresh trade measures, oil heads for its worst week since June, and the S&P 500 lines up a technical breakout with Fed tailwinds.

Power Option Plays has generated over $413K in profits this year with an 82% win rate in our sim account—and you can try it for just $9 for 30-days. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 08.07.25 market close.

Market News

  • Trump nominates Stephen Miran to Fed Board – Dovish stance boosts September rate-cut bets; futures now price potential drop to 3% by year-end. Barron’s

  • Semiconductors surge on tariff exemptions – NVDA +2.5%, AMD +6%, TSMC +4% as U.S.-based production wins. Yahoo Finance

  • Gold futures hit record $3,477 – Safe-haven bid and tariff disruption on Swiss imports drive move. MarketPulse

  • Oil set for biggest weekly drop since June – WTI at $64.06 on tariff drag and potential US–Russia thaw. Reuters

  • S&P 500 holds breakout setup – Support at 6,200–6,300; bulls eye 6,400+ on dovish Fed and 80%+ earnings beat rate. CNBC

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Crush the Market Like a Pro with Power Option Plays 

While most traders struggle to stay profitable, our Power Option Plays members are banking serious gains. The numbers don't lie: 

2025 Performance Results: 

  • $413,362 in total profits 

  • 106 completed trades 

  • 87 winning trades out of 106 

  • 82.1% win rate 

  • $3,889.64 average profit per trade 

Power Option Plays isn't just another alert service. It's a twice-weekly options education and alert system designed for active traders who want to follow a proven, repeatable plan. Each trade setup comes with educational context, so you learn while you trade. 

Since its founding, POP has maintained an average success rate above 70%, helping members generate millions in simulated profits using our systematic approach to swing and day trading options. 

What You Get: 

  • Biweekly recorded training sessions 

  • Real-time trade setups with actionable plans 

  • Focus on repeatable strategies using proven stock candidates 

  • Continuous education alongside live market examples 

  • Quarterly live Q&A sessions - "Mastering The Trade" 

Ready to join the winning team? Try Power Option Plays for just $9 during our 30-day trial period. 

All trading results shown are for educational purposes only. All trades referenced are simulated and not actual trading results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. 

Trade Ideas

Shopify, Inc (SHOP), Vistra Energy Corp (VST), Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN)

EOG Resources Inc (EOG), International Business Machine (IBM), IQVIA Holdings Inc (IQV), Morgan Stanley (MS)

Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), Amazon.com (AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA), Caterpillar, Inc (CAT)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board. Focus on the central banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity.

Stanley Druckenmiller

Why It Matters:

Druckenmiller’s basically saying the quiet part out loud: your meticulously color-coded earnings spreadsheet matters less than whether Jerome Powell woke up in a dovish mood. Liquidity is the oxygen of the market — cut it off, and even the prettiest earnings beat gasps for air. Flood it, and companies can miss by a mile while their stock levitates like it just discovered anti-gravity.

For traders, this means stop pretending the macro is just background noise. Watch the Fed’s balance sheet, global central bank policy shifts, and where the money is flowing. Trade setups that align with liquidity tides tend to ride smoother waves. Fight them, and you’re basically trying to surf during low tide — technically possible, but mostly just embarrassing.