The Trading Post | 08.12.25

Good morning,

CPI is expected to accelerate to 2.8% YoY (core 3.0%), Trump extended the US–China tariff truce 90 days, Fed cut odds surged to 90%, Japan’s Nikkei hit a record high, and August volatility season has officially begun.

Rob Roy has personally analyzed hundreds of stocks to hand-pick the best directional trade setups for Monster Market Movers – and new members can get their first month for only $9. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 08.11.25 market close.

Market News

• CPI print looms at 8:30 AM ET – Core inflation expected to hit 3.0%, sparking ±42 SPX point implied move. Yahoo Finance

• US–China tariff truce extended – 90-day pause avoids triple-digit duties but prolongs uncertainty. Reuters

• Fed cut bets near 90% – Dovish officials and weak jobs data fuel September easing expectations. Reuters

• Nikkei 225 hits record – Japanese exporters surge on tariff optimism, boosting global risk sentiment. Reuters

• Volatility season is here – Aug–Sep historically worst S&P 500 months; average -1.4% decline since 1990. Equity Clock

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Get Rob Roy's Best Stock Picks for $9 

Every month, Rob Roy does the heavy lifting for you. He personally analyzes hundreds of stocks to identify the cream of the crop – the ones that fit his proven directional trading setups perfectly. 

Monster Market Movers isn't just another trading service. It's a monthly 2-hour live workshop where Rob walks you through his curated list of trade candidates, complete with pattern-based strategies that work for both swing and day traders. 

What makes this different? Rob doesn't just throw random stocks at you. Each month, you get: 

• A personally curated list of his top trade candidates 

• Pre-event analysis with detailed trade setups 

• Live 2-hour training sessions with real-time market insights 

• A repeatable game plan you can use month after month 

• Access to foundational videos and materials in the member area 

Whether you're looking to sharpen your pattern recognition or want someone with decades of experience to do the stock screening for you, Monster Market Movers delivers a systematic approach to finding high-probability directional trades. 

Limited Time: New members can get their first month for only $9 (regularly priced higher). This gives you full access to Rob's next monthly workshop, his curated stock list, and all the training materials. 

Ready to let a pro do the stock picking? Get Monster Market Movers for $9 

Earnings We’re Watching

• H&R Block Inc. (HRB) - Tuesday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

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Daily Moment of Zen

Why It Matters:

In markets, “conventional wisdom” is just the crowd’s way of telling you where it’s safe to stop thinking. It’s the default trade everyone’s already in, the headline narrative that fits neatly in a tweet, the analyst consensus that sounds authoritative but often proves late. The world—and the market—is messy, contradictory, and allergic to simple explanations. If you think you’ve “got it all figured out,” you’re probably missing the one variable that actually matters. Traders who survive longest aren’t the ones who predict perfectly—they’re the ones humble enough to question the obvious, dig deeper than the news chyron, and admit when they don’t know. In other words: doubt is a feature, not a bug.