The Trading Post | 08.27.25

Good morning,

Nvidia earnings loom large as AI demand faces China trade reality, Trump’s India tariffs hit 50% today, hedge funds are shorting volatility while MongoDB explodes higher, CoreWeave rides the AI wave, and U.S. buybacks smash the $1T mark as Trump fights the Fed.

Generate consistent daily cash flow with SPX zero-day options—get your first month of SPX Cashflow Secrets for just $9. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 08.26.25 market close.

Market News

  • Nvidia’s $260B Options Play: Q2 earnings after the bell; Street sees $46B revenue, 48% EPS growth. Options imply 6% move. China restrictions weigh but AI demand from MSFT & META keeps bulls alive. Yahoo

  • Trump’s India Tariffs Bite: Duties double to 50% on nearly all Indian goods; EU rushing tariff cuts to avoid Trump’s wrath. NYT

  • Hedge Funds Short VIX: Net short positions hit 92,786 contracts, a 3-year high. Historically a contrarian signal before volatility spikes. Bloomberg

  • MongoDB Moonshot: Stock surged 30% on 29% Atlas growth and record AI customer additions. Benzinga

  • CoreWeave Joins the Party: Cantor initiates with 25% upside target; low-vol bets in S&P options could signal complacency risk. CNBC

  • Buybacks Smash $1T: Corporate America crossed the milestone at record pace, expected to top $1.1T this year. MarketWatch

  • Trump vs. the Fed: Legal battles heat up after Trump fired Fed Governor Lisa Cook; markets shrug, still pricing 83% odds of September cut. Reuters

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

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Brandon Wendell, CMT brings decades of professional trading experience to these daily SMS alerts, focusing on consistency over home runs. The strategy targets intraday cash flow using credit spreads that typically resolve within hours, not days. 

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Earnings We’re Watching

  • Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • J.M. Smucker Co. (SJM) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • CrowdStrike, Inc. (CRWD) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • HP Inc. (HPQ) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Snowflake (SNOW) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) - Wednesday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Visa Inc (V), Block Inc (XYZ), Agilent Technologies (A)

Roku Inc (ROKU), S&P Global Inc (SPG), Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD), Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO)

International Business Machine (IBM) IQVIA Holdings, Inc (IQV), J P Morgan Chase & Co (JPM), PulteGroup Inc (PHM)

DoorDash, Inc (DASH), Digital Realty Trust, Inc (DLR), Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT)

Agilent Technologies, Inc (A), Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF), Capital One Financial Corporation (COF), Salesforce.com Inc (CRM)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

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Daily Moment of Zen

In hedge funds, the ability to think independently is crucial. Following the herd is a recipe for disaster.

David Tepper

Why It Matters:

If you’re chasing the same breakout CNBC is hyping, you’re already late to the party—someone’s selling you their exit. Herd behavior feels safe, but it usually means you’re stampeding straight toward the cliff. The real edge comes from seeing where the herd will go, not trampling with it. Independent thinking in markets is like oxygen: unnoticed until it’s gone, and fatal if you don’t have it.