The Trading Post | 09.05.25

September 05, 2025

Good morning,

Fed cut odds surge to 99% ahead of Friday’s jobs report, the S&P 500 nails yet another record close (because gravity is optional in 2025), Broadcom rips higher on AI demand and an OpenAI hookup, Lululemon faceplants on tariffs and weak U.S. demand, and Tesla shareholders will soon decide if Elon’s $29B is well-earned or just another Tuesday.

Experience Wealth Builders HQ's elite trading programs completely free during Mastermind Week (September 8-12) and discover what it's really like to trade alongside seasoned professionals.

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 09.04.25 market close.

Market News

  • Fed cut basically baked in: Markets pricing 99% odds of a 25bp cut Sept 17 after ugly ADP jobs and rising claims. Reuters

  • S&P 500 at fresh highs: Closed at 6,502.08, its 21st ATH of the year—September says “hold my beer” with its 100% historical lose streak after hot Augusts. Barron’s

  • Broadcom explodes +9%: $15.95B Q3 rev beat, AI rev +63%, $10B new orders, OpenAI deal sealed. Morningstar

  • Lululemon wrecked -17%: Tariffs + weak U.S. sales cut guidance for the 2nd quarter in a row. CNBC

  • Tesla votes Musk payday: Board pushes $29B package to lock him in through 2030, stock pops pre-market. Reuters

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Learn to Trade Like the Pros Do — Completely Free 

Ever wondered what separates successful traders from the rest? This week, you can find out firsthand. 

Wealth Builders HQ is opening their doors to their highest-level trading programs during Mastermind Week (September 8-12). For five days only, you'll get unprecedented access to the Inner Circle, Mastermind Group, and Trading U—programs that typically require significant investment. 

What You'll Experience: 

  • Inner Circle Trading Lab: Live market analysis with professional traders (Mon, Tue, Fri @ 9am ET) 

  • Inner Circle Weekly Meetup: Real-time trade setups and market insights (Mon @ 7pm ET) 

  • Mastermind Group: Interactive coaching sessions with the full WBHQ team (Tue @ 8pm ET) 

  • Trading U: Proven strategies from 25+ year veteran Robert Roy (Wed @ 8pm ET) 

  • Trading Coaches Playbook: Roundtable discussions with fellow serious traders (Fri @ 12pm ET) 

This isn't about selling you anything—it's about showing you exactly how professional traders approach the markets. You'll see real strategies, real trades, and real results from traders who've been doing this for decades. 

Perfect if you're: 

  • Struggling to identify high-probability setups 

  • Unsure which strategies work in different market conditions 

  • Looking to learn from experienced, profitable traders 

  • Ready to move beyond theory into real-world application 

Seven free sessions. Zero obligation. Maximum value. 

Trade Ideas

Texas Roadhouse , Inc (TXRH), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Vanguard Total Stock Market ET (VTI), Workday, Inc (WDAY)

Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC), Toll Brothers, Inc (TOL), Tapestry, Inc (TPR), Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP)

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), Morgan Stanley (MS), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Invesco QQQ Trust, Series (QQQ)

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT), International Business Machine (IBM), Kkr (KKR), 3M Company (MMM)

D.R. Horton, Inc (DH), Electronic Arts Inc (EA), Expedia, Inc (EXPE), First Solar, Inc (FSLR)

DoorDash, Inc (DASH), Deere & Company (DE), Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK), Dollar General Corporation (DG)

Boeing Company (BA), Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX), Baidu, Inc (BIDU), Salesforce.com Inc (CRM)

Amgen Inc (AMGN), American Tower Corporation (AMT), Apollo Global Management, LLC (APO), Ares Management LP. (ARES)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

❝

Investing is an activity of forecasting the yield over the life of the asset; speculation is the activity of forecasting the psychology of the market.

John Maynard Keynes

Why It Matters:

Leave it to Keynes to ruin your cocktail party banter by reminding you that most of what we call “trading” is actually just trying to out-psychoanalyze the crowd. Investors want dividends and compounding; speculators want to know if Chad in Miami is going to FOMO-buy Tesla calls on a Friday afternoon. The punchline? In 2025, the psychology usually pays better than the fundamentals—at least until it doesn’t, and you’re left explaining to your accountant why your “forecasts” resembled a horoscope.