The Trading Post | 09.15.25

September 15, 2025

Good morning,

Fed cut countdown stirs “sell the news” fears, Musk drops $1B on Tesla stock, Nvidia gets antitrust heat from China, Beijing props up local chipmakers, and September seasonality reminds us that gravity still exists.

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Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 09.12.25 market close.

Market News

  • Fed cut priced in, volatility risk rising: Market braces for Wednesday’s 25bp cut, but strategists warn of a potential 3%+ pullback. Bloomberg

  • Musk buys $1B in Tesla stock: First open-market buy since 2020, sending shares +7% premarket. CNBC

  • Nvidia slapped by China: Antitrust probe tied to Mellanox deal; shares -2.4%. Forbes

  • Chinese analog chipmakers moon: SG Micro +20% limit up, 3Peak +10%, Beijing probes U.S. dumping. MarketWatch

  • September curse reminder: Only 2 of last 20 years avoided 4%+ pullbacks into year-end. Morningstar

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Daily Moment of Zen

❝

Soros is the best loss taker I've ever seen. He doesn't care whether he wins or loses on a trade. If a trade doesn't work, he's confident enough about his ability to win on other trades.

Stanley Druckenmiller

Why It Matters:

This is basically the trader’s version of emotional detachment. Soros knew the market doesn’t hand out trophies for stubbornness. He’d cut losers quickly, shrug, and move on — because one trade never defined him. That’s the opposite of most traders who treat every red candle like a personal insult.

The lesson? Confidence in your process beats attachment to your positions. Your edge isn’t in this trade — it’s in the hundreds of trades you’ll execute over time. The market rewards the disciplined quitter, not the bagholder in denial.