The Trading Post | 09.16.25

September 16, 2025

Good morning,

Fed drama, record-breaking indices, Musk’s billion-dollar Tesla bet, gold’s moonshot, and a US-China trade deal outline with a side of Nvidia trouble.

Get the complete trading education foundation with Trading U, and Annual/Lifetime subscribers now receive Omega Chartz Lite absolutely free.

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 9.15.25 market close.

Market News

  • Fed decision looms: 96% odds of a 25bp cut Wednesday; politics cloud Fed independence Reuters

  • S&P & Nasdaq at records: S&P tops 6,600, Nasdaq +0.94% led by mega-cap tech Reuters

  • Tesla rockets: Musk buys $1B in stock; TSLA flips green for 2025 NYT

  • Gold tops $3,690: Dollar slumps, safe-haven flows drive surge Trading Economics

  • US-China trade framework: TikTok deal progress, Trump-Xi to finalize Friday WSJ

  • China vs Nvidia: Antitrust ruling on Mellanox acquisition knocks NVDA pre-market Reuters

  • Alphabet joins $3T club: Fourth company after AAPL, MSFT, NVDA CNBC

  • Oracle pops: Seen as TikTok buyer, stock +3.8% Reuters

  • Central bank buying gold: ETFs, sovereigns fuel momentum Reuters

  • Political Fed shuffle: Trump appointee Stephen Miran confirmed, Lisa Cook stays after court block WSJ

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Earnings We’re Watching

  • Ferguson plc (FERG) - Tuesday (BMO)

Trade Ideas

Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE), Autodesk, Inc (ADSK), Astera Labs, Inc (ALAB), Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)

Targa Resources Corp (TRGP), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Vulcan Materials Company (VMC), Direxcion Tech Bull 3X Shares (TECL)

Shake Shack, Inc (SHAK), Simon Property Group, Inc (SPG), Seagate Technology (STX), Direxion Techbull 3x Shares (TECL)

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)

D.R. Horton Inc (DH), SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), Cheniere Energy, Inc (LNG), McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)

CME Group Inc (CME), Capital One Financial Corporation (COF), Cencora, Inc (COR) DoorDash, Inc (DASH)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

❝

In my whole life, I have known no wise people who didn't read all the time - none... ZERO.

Charlie Munger

Why It Matters:

This one hits like a margin call. Reading is the leverage of the mind—cheap, compounding, and available to anyone with two eyes (or an audiobook subscription). Every great trader, from Soros to Buffett, has one thing in common: they’re obsessive readers. Markets change daily, but the need to stay informed doesn’t.

Skip reading, and you’re trading blind. You’ll still make trades, but it’s like shorting volatility without knowing the Fed meets tomorrow—you’ll only discover your mistake when your account is bleeding. Reading isn’t optional; it’s risk management for your brain.

In short: if you aren’t filling your head with better inputs, don’t be surprised when your outputs look like meme-stock bagholding.