The Trading Post | 10.15.25

Good morning,

Futures are green as traders juggle US‑China tension and a dovish Powell, big banks beat with resilient IB, ASML tops and fans an AI‑chip rip, crude slides toward $58 on IEA glut warnings, and a third‑week shutdown keeps the data lights off.

Want to generate consistent income in your retirement account? Covered Call Explorer is offering a rare 3-week trial to test drive their weekly income strategy.

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 10.14.25 market close.

Market News

  • Whipsaw then whisper rally: After Tuesday’s rollercoaster, futures bounce as traders price a late‑October cut and look past tariff saber‑rattling. CNBC

  • VIX chills (a little): Fear gauge backed off from a 22.9 spike; front‑end inversion hints at jumpy tape. Bloomberg

  • Gold kisses fresh highs: Record prints above $4,200/oz as safe‑haven bids stack. Reuters

  • Powell keeps the door open: Policy path “data‑dependent,” but tone lands dovish to markets. Fed Speech

  • Banks bring the beats: BAC/MS join JPM/WFC in topping the tape; IB recovery narrative sticks. Reuters

  • ASML > estimates: Big bookings and steady 2025 guide lift semis despite China clouds. ASML IR

  • Oracle taps AMD: 50k MI chips slated from 2026, stoking the non‑NVDA AI arms race. CNBC

  • Oil sinks: WTI presses $58 on IEA surplus call; energy equities wobble. Reuters

  • Shutdown = data blackout: CPI/Jobs delayed; traders lean on private proxies and Beige Book. Reuters

  • Dollar eases, yields slip: DXY drifts; 10‑yr near 4.02% on slower‑growth bets. TradingEconomics

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Test Drive Conservative Income Strategies Risk-Free 

If you've been looking for a way to generate cash flow in your retirement account without the stress of aggressive trading, now's your chance to try Covered Call Explorer with zero commitment. 

For a limited time, you can access a 3-week trial of this weekly alert service designed specifically for conservative traders who want consistent income using covered calls, naked puts, and diagonal spreads. 

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What you get during your trial: 

  • Weekly trade alerts with ranked opportunities 

  • Step-by-step action plans for each setup 

  • Strategies tailored for retirement and conservative accounts 

  • Training materials to boost your confidence 

  • Access to quarterly live Q&A sessions 

Whether you're new to options or simply want a more systematic approach to income generation, this trial gives you three full weeks to see if Covered Call Explorer fits your trading style—with no strings attached. 

Ready to generate income the conservative way? 
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Earnings We’re Watching

  • Abbott (ABT) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Bank of America Corp. (BAC) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Citizens Financial Group Inc (CFG) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Morgan Stanley (MS) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Progressive Corp. (PGR) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • United Airlines (UAL) - Wednesday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK), Apple Inc (AAPL), Astera Labs Inc (ALAB)

Philip Morris International (PM), QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM), iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor (SOXX), Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)

Expedia Inc (EXPE), Kkr (KKR), Marriot International (MAR), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)

Cadence Design Systems, Inc (CDNS), Capital One Financial Corporation (COF), Salesforce.com Inc (CRM) D.R. Horton, Inc (DHI)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

If most traders would learn to sit on their hands 50 percent of the time, they would make a lot more money.

Bill Lipschutz

Why It Matters:

The best trade you’ll ever make is the one you don’t take. Markets reward patience the same way casinos reward house odds—slowly, consistently, and only if you wait for setups that actually deserve your capital. Most losses are the tuition paid for boredom. Sitting out half the noise isn’t laziness; it’s edge preservation. Sometimes the highest-probability trade is literally no trade at all.