The Trading Post | 11.10.25

Good morning,

Wall Street’s shaking off the shutdown blues, crypto’s moonwalking again, and Nvidia’s Jensen Huang is out here buying Taiwan one wafer at a time. Let’s dig in.

Master SPX trading in just 5-6 hours per week with Brandon Wendell's proven strategy that thousands of traders are already using—register for this free training now. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 11.10.25 market close.

Market News

• The 40-day government shutdown may finally be ending after the Senate voted 60-40 to advance a funding bill. S&P futures +0.8%, Nasdaq +1.4%, led by a rebound in Nvidia (+3.5%), Broadcom (+2.5%), and Micron (+4.4%). Treasury yields ticked up to 4.14% as safe-haven demand unwound. If the House signs off, expect delayed economic data to start flooding back—because nothing says “normal” like another round of revisions. Yahoo Finance

• Crypto traders are partying like it’s 2020. Bitcoin ripped past $106,000 after Trump proposed $2,000 “tariff dividend” checks for Americans. Ethereum +5.46%, XRP +8.62%, and Monero +15.46% led a retail-driven melt-up that smells suspiciously like stimulus déjà vu. Treasury Secretary Bessent says the payout could come “in many forms” — traders are betting one of those forms is “crypto FOMO.” Coin Desk

• Jensen Huang personally flew to Taiwan (again) to beg TSMC for more 3nm chips as Nvidia’s AI order book now tops $500B through next year. TSMC plans a 50% wafer production increase to keep up. Analysts from Citi hiked NVDA’s target to $220 and forecast Q3 revenue of $56.8B, well ahead of estimates. The man’s basically cornering the silicon market—if gold had GPUs, he’d be mining that too. Bloomberg

• The University of Michigan’s sentiment index fell to 50.3, the second-lowest reading ever. Inflation expectations ticked slightly higher, and the pain’s spread evenly—except for wealthy households, who got more confident (thanks, stocks). The disconnect is real: Main Street’s broke, Wall Street’s stoked. Economists call it “resilient spending”; the rest of us call it “credit cards.” Reuters

• Monday.com crushed estimates but cratered 18% on soft guidance — apparently “profitability” is out, and “hypergrowth” is still the mood. Tyson Foods gained on a 19% jump in operating income and strong chicken margins, while Occidental Petroleum is expected to halve EPS to $0.51 as crude stays near $60. The market’s message: revenue is optional, execution is not. Reuters

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

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Earnings We’re Watching

• Dole plc (DOLE) - Monday (BMO) 

• Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN) - Monday (BMO) 

• Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY) - Monday (AMC) 

• PARAMOUNT SKDNC (PSKY) - Monday (AMC) 

Daily Moment of Zen

Why It Matters:

This is trading distilled to its purest math. You can be wrong half the time and still rich — or right most of the time and still broke — depending on how you manage risk and reward. Soros and Druckenmiller didn’t build fortunes by being psychic; they sized up conviction, leveraged selectively, and cut losers fast.

For the everyday trader, that means stop obsessing over “accuracy” and start focusing on asymmetry — setups where your potential gain dwarfs your risk. The market doesn’t care about your ego, but it does care about your position size. Being right feels good. Being profitable feels better.