The Trading Post | 11.21.25

November 21, 2025

Good morning,

Market plunges as AI valuations get torched, Fed rate‑cut odds collapse to 30%, Walmart crushes earnings while Target limps into the holidays, Bitcoin face‑plants below 84K, and Trump’s Brazil tariff rollback sends commodities spinning.

Want to follow a proven options system with a 70%+ win rate? Robert Roy's Power Option Plays delivers twice-weekly trade alerts with clear entry and exit plans. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 11.20.25 market close.

Market News

  • AI Selloff Deepens: Nvidia beats big but still dumps 3% as investors question AI ROI; Asian chip names follow the slide. CNN

  • Fed Cut Odds Crushed: December cut expectations sink to 30% after stronger‑than‑expected jobs data. Reuters

  • Retail Divergence: Walmart surges on monster Q3 results while Target warns on weak traffic and trims guidance. Reuters

  • Crypto Wipeout: Bitcoin crashes below 84K with nearly $2B liquidated; Fear & Greed Index hits 11. Coindesk

  • Tariffs & Commodities: Trump removes 40% tariffs on Brazilian ag imports, hammering coffee prices while crude sinks on peace deal hopes. Reuters

A Message From Wealth Builderes HQ

Trade Options with Confidence Using a Proven System 

Power Option Plays (POP) isn't just another options alert service—it's a complete trading education wrapped around real-time trade opportunities. 

Here's what makes POP different: 

Rob Roy personally analyzes hundreds of stocks every week, selecting only the highest-probability setups based on his Fibonacci and moving average system. You get twice-weekly recorded trainings that walk you through exactly why each trade setup works, so you're learning the methodology while following along. 

Since its founding, POP has maintained an average success rate above 70%, generating millions in profit in simulated trading accounts. The system focuses on repeatable patterns using the same core stock candidates, which means you're building pattern recognition with every alert. 

What You Get: 

  • Biweekly recorded training videos breaking down current market setups 

  • Trade alerts with specific entry points, position sizing, and exit strategies 

  • A proven tracking system that shows you exactly when to scale in and out 

  • Quarterly live Q&A sessions ("Mastering The Trade") to refine your approach 

  • Access to Rob's complete watchlist with bias indicators (bullish, bearish, or neutral) 

Whether you're swing trading or day trading, POP teaches you how to fish while giving you the best fishing spots. You'll learn to identify your own setups using Rob's Fibonacci-based system while following his alerts on proven candidates. 

Ready to trade with a plan? Check out Power Option Plays and start building your options trading confidence with a system that actually works. 

Trade Ideas

Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO), Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorpo (VRTX), Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE), Arm Holdings plc - American (ARM)

Royal Caribean Cruises Ltd. (RCL), iShares PHLX SOX Semicoductor (SOXX), TransMedics Group, Inc (TMDX), Toll Brothers, Inc (TOL)

Cheniere Energy, Inc (LNG), MongoDB (MDB), 3M Company (MMM), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

FedEx Corporation (FDX), Insmed, Inc (INSM), iShares Russell 2000 Index Fun (IWM), J P Morgan Chase & Co (JPM)

Datadog, Inc (DDOG), Dell Technologies (DELL), Elastic N.V. (ESTC), Eaton Corporation (ETN)

Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE), Arm Holdings plc - American (ARM), Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX), Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

❝

I don't think you can consistently be a winning trader if you're banking on being right more than 50 percent of the time. You have to figure out how to make money being right only 20 to 30 percent of the time.

Bill Lipschutz

Why It Matters:

When a trader says you only need to be right 20–30 percent of the time, what they’re really saying is: “Welcome to the markets, where accuracy is optional but risk management is mandatory.” It’s the ultimate flex against the myth that great traders are clairvoyant. They’re not. They’re just really good at making their winners embarrass their losers.

Most new traders obsess over win rate because it feels like a grade on a test. But trading isn’t school — it’s more like controlled gambling with a spreadsheet. A 90 percent win rate means nothing if your one loser wipes out nine victories. Meanwhile, the pros quietly stack asymmetric setups: small, boring, highly controlled losses paired with occasional “oh wow, that actually worked” home runs.

The deeper message? Trading is a math game, not an ego game. If you can emotionally survive being “wrong” 70–80 percent of the time — and still stick to a system — you’re already operating on a different level than most market participants. That’s where consistency lives. That’s where longevity lives. And ironically, that’s where winning becomes… almost inevitable.