The Trading Post | 11.24.25

Good morning,

Markets are trying to stage a Thanksgiving-week comeback on rising odds of a December Fed cut, even as AI-bubble worries cap Nvidia, Bitcoin dives into a fresh mini-winter, crude sells off on Ukraine peace talk progress, and retail investors finally tap the brakes on buying every red candle.

Want to follow a proven options system with a 70%+ win rate? Robert Roy's Power Option Plays delivers twice-weekly trade alerts with clear entry and exit plans.

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 11.23.25 market close.

Market News

• Markets bounce, November still stinks. S&P +1%, Dow +1.1%, Nasdaq +0.9% into the weekend as traders re‑price a December cut (now ~70% odds), but all three indexes are still sharply red for the month with VIX > 23 keeping things spicy. Reuters

• Holiday week = low liquidity, high nonsense. Futures are pointing higher into a short week (closed Thursday, half‑day Friday), with very few catalysts before the Dec 9–10 FOMC — a perfect recipe for choppy, headline‑driven algo ping‑pong. CNBC

• AI bubble: Nvidia prints money, market shrugs. NVDA dropped record‑breaking Q3 numbers and raised guidance toward a half‑trillion‑dollar revenue runway… and the stock could barely hold a pulse as AI bubble talk gets louder. Reuters

• Credit market side‑eye: Oracle’s AI tab balloons. Oracle’s CDS blew out as it sold $18B in debt to feed the AI-data-center beast, with some analysts projecting net debt could double by 2028 if the party continues. Reuters

• Bitcoin gets taken out back. BTC puked from a $126K ATH down to the low $80Ks, its worst month since the FTX era, with $5B+ in leverage flushed and “extreme fear” lighting up every sentiment gauge. Fortune

• Crypto contagion hits the equities. Miners and crypto‑adjacent names are trading like meme stocks again — just in the wrong direction — as shallow liquidity turns every margin call into a cliff dive. Coindesk

• Oil sells off on Ukraine peace progress. WTI slid into the high‑$50s and Brent toward $62 as the US and Ukraine signaled “meaningful progress” on a revised peace framework with Russia, pressuring the entire energy complex. Reuters

• Energy stocks feel the squeeze. European majors like Shell, BP, and Equinor led the declines as traders started to price in a world with more Russian supply and fewer geopolitical risk premia baked into crude. CNBC

• Retail investors finally chill out. After months of buying every dip, retail flows have cooled; JPMorgan notes mom‑and‑pop traders aren’t causing the selloff, but they’re definitely not stepping in front of it either. Reuters

• Stock‑picker’s market: pockets of strength. Bristol‑Myers popped on positive cardio drug data and Alibaba jumped on surging downloads of its new Qwen AI app, reminding traders there are still individual names outrunning the macro sludge. Bloomberg

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Trade Options with Confidence Using a Proven System 

Power Option Plays (POP) isn't just another options alert service—it's a complete trading education wrapped around real-time trade opportunities. 

Here's what makes POP different: 

Rob Roy personally analyzes hundreds of stocks every week, selecting only the highest-probability setups based on his Fibonacci and moving average system. You get twice-weekly recorded trainings that walk you through exactly why each trade setup works, so you're learning the methodology while following along. 

Since its founding, POP has maintained an average success rate above 70%, generating millions in profit in simulated trading accounts. The system focuses on repeatable patterns using the same core stock candidates, which means you're building pattern recognition with every alert. 

What You Get: 

• Biweekly recorded training videos breaking down current market setups 

• Trade alerts with specific entry points, position sizing, and exit strategies 

• A proven tracking system that shows you exactly when to scale in and out 

• Quarterly live Q&A sessions ("Mastering The Trade") to refine your approach 

• Access to Rob's complete watchlist with bias indicators (bullish, bearish, or neutral) 

Whether you're swing trading or day trading, POP teaches you how to fish while giving you the best fishing spots. You'll learn to identify your own setups using Rob's Fibonacci-based system while following his alerts on proven candidates. 

Ready to trade with a plan? Check out Power Option Plays and start building your options trading confidence with a system that actually works. 

Earnings We’re Watching

• Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM) - Monday (AMC)

Daily Moment of Zen

Why It Matters:

The quote basically spits in the face of every 12-month price target ever published. And honestly? Fair. Short-term price action is the only thing in markets that consistently behaves—because it reflects current participants, current liquidity, and current levels of collective delusion. The further out you try to forecast, the more you’re essentially betting on strangers you haven’t met yet doing things they haven’t thought of yet with money they don’t currently have.

For traders, this is the reminder we need tattooed on our charts: precision lives in the next move, not the next year. Your edge comes from reading today’s tape, not predicting next quarter’s macro soap opera. Price levels, momentum shifts, liquidity pockets—those are real. Twelve-month earnings “visibility”? That’s astrology with better fonts.

In other words: nail the next swing, survive the next turn, and stop trying to out-clairvoyant the future. The market barely knows what it wants for lunch, let alone where it’s going by summer.