The Trading Post | 12.10.25

Good morning,

Fed Day. No small talk. No warm-up stretch. Straight into the carnage.

Want to follow a proven options system with a 70%+ win rate? Robert Roy's Power Option Plays delivers twice-weekly trade alerts with clear entry and exit plans. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 12.09.25 market close.

Market News

  • Fed Rate Decision – The Main Event.
    Markets expect a 25 bps cut at 2PM ET with hawkish guidance looming. Options imply a 1.3% SPX move. Volatility likely spikes if Powell leans tough. Market Watch

  • Small-Cap Mania Continues.
    The Russell 2000 set its 8th record close of 2025 even as 10-yr yields hit 4.19%. Nearly 40% of the index is unprofitable, but sure… what could go wrong? Morning Star

  • JPMorgan Drops 4.7% After Expense Bomb.
    2026 spending expected to hit $105B, spooking Wall Street and the banking sector. Margin pressure is real and contagious. Yahoo Finance

  • Crypto Rockets Ahead of the Fed.
    Bitcoin reclaimed $94K, ETH up 6%, and altcoin season whispers begin. Inflows jump ahead of the rate decision. Coin Desk

  • Oracle & Broadcom Earnings on Deck.
    Oracle’s massive AI-fueled debt and Broadcom’s sky-high expectations set up a critical test for the AI trade. Investopedia

  • Carvana Joins the S&P 500.
    CVNA popped 12%, now valued at $87B, larger than Ford or GM. Meme-stock energy meets index-fund money. Yahoo Finance

  • Nvidia Gets Conditional China Chip Approval.
    NVDA up again on news it can ship modified H200 chips to China — just hand over 25% of revenues to the U.S. government. Yahoo Finance

  • Yields Keep Climbing.
    10-yr at 4.19%, 30-yr at 4.81%. Fixed income saying one thing, equities hearing another. Trading Economics

  • Geopolitics Won’t Sit Down.
    Ukraine submits revised peace terms to Washington. Markets pretending not to notice… until they do. BBC

  • Oil Holds Steady Before Fed & Ukraine Updates.
    Energy traders sitting on their hands waiting for clarity. Reuters

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Trade Options with Confidence Using a Proven System 

Power Option Plays (POP) isn't just another options alert service—it's a complete trading education wrapped around real-time trade opportunities. 

Here's what makes POP different: 

Rob Roy personally analyzes hundreds of stocks every week, selecting only the highest-probability setups based on his Fibonacci and moving average system. You get twice-weekly recorded trainings that walk you through exactly why each trade setup works, so you're learning the methodology while following along. 

Since its founding, POP has maintained an average success rate above 70%, generating millions in profit in simulated trading accounts. The system focuses on repeatable patterns using the same core stock candidates, which means you're building pattern recognition with every alert. 

What You Get: 

  • Biweekly recorded training videos breaking down current market setups 

  • Trade alerts with specific entry points, position sizing, and exit strategies 

  • A proven tracking system that shows you exactly when to scale in and out 

  • Quarterly live Q&A sessions ("Mastering The Trade") to refine your approach 

  • Access to Rob's complete watchlist with bias indicators (bullish, bearish, or neutral) 

Whether you're swing trading or day trading, POP teaches you how to fish while giving you the best fishing spots. You'll learn to identify your own setups using Rob's Fibonacci-based system while following his alerts on proven candidates. 

Ready to trade with a plan? Check out Power Option Plays and start building your options trading confidence with a system that actually works. 

Earnings We’re Watching

  • Chewy, Inc. (CHWY) - Wednesday (BMO) 

  • Adobe Inc. (ADBE) - Wednesday (AMC) 

  • Oracle Corp. (ORCL) - Wednesday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

Amgen Inc (AMGN), Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN), Arista Networks, Inc (ANET), Boeing Company (BA)

Caterpillar, Inc (CAT). DoorDash, Inc (DASH), Expedia, Inc (EXPE), Robinhood Markets, Inc (HOOD)

Gartner, Inc (IT), iShares Russell 2000 Index Fun (IWM), Kkr (KKR), Linde plc - Ordinary Shares (LIN)

Pinduoduo Inc (PDD), Philip Morris International Inc (PM), Roku, Inc (ROKU), Snowflake Inc. Class A Common (SNOW)

iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor (SOXX), Simon Property Group, Inc (SPG), Seagate Technology (STX), Direxion Tech Bull 3X Shares (TECL)

TransMedics Group, Inc (TMDX), Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Wix.com Ltd. (WIX)

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

I think investment psychology is by far the more important element, followed by risk control, with the least important consideration being the question of where you buy and sell.

Tom Basso

Why It Matters:

Your brain is the trade, your risk is the steering wheel, and your entry price is the cupholder — nice to have, but it’s not keeping you out of the ditch. Traders obsess over the perfect entry like it’s a magic spell. Spoiler: it’s not. If your psychology is unstable and your risk control is sloppy, the "perfect entry" just becomes the perfect place to lose money slowly. Or quickly. Usually quickly.

Great traders aren’t wizards; they’re emotionally boring and aggressively consistent. Control your head, control your risk, and suddenly your entries start looking a whole lot smarter — mostly because you’re not sabotaging them.