The Trading Post | 12.11.25

Good morning,

The Fed cut rates for the third time this year but futures aren’t buying the Christmas-rally narrative. Oracle sneezed and the entire AI sector caught pneumonia. A pileup of economic reports threatens to whip volatility into shape. Analysts are warning about a 2026 “vibepression” (yes, that’s a real term now), and stock pickers are dropping clean buy/sell levels for traders who like rules. Let’s jump in.

Want to follow a proven options system with a 70%+ win rate? Robert Roy's Power Option Plays delivers twice-weekly trade alerts with clear entry and exit plans. 

Let’s jump in.

Pre-Market Performance

As of 12.10.25 market close.

Market News

• Fed cuts for the third time in 2025 — Funds rate now sits at 3.50%–3.75%. The 6–3 split vote says “We’re not fighting, you’re fighting.” Futures dipped overnight as traders question why the rally forgot to show up. CNBC

• Oracle faceplants, AI stocks feel the draft — Cloud revenue missed, capex forecast soared, and suddenly investors remembered AI costs money. ORCL dropped 10% pre-market and took half the sector with it. Bloomberg

• Volatility risk rising into major data week — Consumer spending, NFP, CPI… basically the market’s entire personality test drops in the next few sessions. Investing

• “Vibepression” enters the chat — Analysts warn of stubborn inflation + uneven consumer spending = a moody 2026. Value stocks quietly mumble: “Our time has come.” Market Watch

A Message From Wealth Builders HQ

Trade Options with Confidence Using a Proven System 

Power Option Plays (POP) isn't just another options alert service—it's a complete trading education wrapped around real-time trade opportunities. 

Here's what makes POP different: 

Rob Roy personally analyzes hundreds of stocks every week, selecting only the highest-probability setups based on his Fibonacci and moving average system. You get twice-weekly recorded trainings that walk you through exactly why each trade setup works, so you're learning the methodology while following along. 

Since its founding, POP has maintained an average success rate above 70%, generating millions in profit in simulated trading accounts. The system focuses on repeatable patterns using the same core stock candidates, which means you're building pattern recognition with every alert. 

What You Get: 

• Biweekly recorded training videos breaking down current market setups 

• Trade alerts with specific entry points, position sizing, and exit strategies 

• A proven tracking system that shows you exactly when to scale in and out 

• Quarterly live Q&A sessions ("Mastering The Trade") to refine your approach 

• Access to Rob's complete watchlist with bias indicators (bullish, bearish, or neutral) 

Whether you're swing trading or day trading, POP teaches you how to fish while giving you the best fishing spots. You'll learn to identify your own setups using Rob's Fibonacci-based system while following his alerts on proven candidates. 

Ready to trade with a plan? Check out Power Option Plays and start building your options trading confidence with a system that actually works. 

Earnings We’re Watching

• Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) - Thursday (AMC) 

• Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) - Thursday (AMC) 

• Lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) - Thursday (AMC) 

Trade Ideas

Want to learn how we trade these? Learn the setup we call the “High Volatility Switchback” trade.

Get these ideas delivered to your inbox daily with Trade With Rob. It’s 100% free. Sign up here.

Daily Moment of Zen

Why It Matters:

Milton Friedman wasn’t talking about the Federal Reserve…but he might as well have been. “Temporary” government programs have a funny habit of sticking around longer than your average bag-holding meme stock trader. Once the government intervenes — stimulus checks, emergency lending facilities, QE, QT, buybacks, bans, subsidies, you name it — markets start treating those policies like part of the furniture.

For traders, the lesson is simple: never assume policymakers will gracefully exit stage left just because they said they would. Liquidity injections, bailouts, rate cuts, “temporary” facilities… these things often extend well past their expiration date, reshaping entire market cycles.

In other words, price action may be temporary, but government involvement? Practically an ETF at this point.

Trade accordingly: respect the policy backdrop, but don’t rely on it disappearing on schedule.